I can't predict the future but my feeling is that AlmaLinux has a good chance to become the second Gold standard.
I disagree with you. Both Rocky Linux and AlmaLinux are in a very comfortable position, and they will likely stay that way.
We'll see, Rocky Linux wants to stay a 100% rebuid of RHEL. Red Hat could be tempted to hide more of the sources of RHEL, the parts not under GPL.
This won't hurt AlmaLinux as much because there is no real need to be 100% RHEL compatible. It must be 100% compatible with itself, sure.
my predict is that they will continue as a #rebuilder / #freeloader, writing software is a hard work.
We shouldn't forget that Red Hat didn't write all the software for RHEL. They wrote some parts of it but "freeloaded" 90% from the community. I'm also part of this community and never asked for a cent from Red Hat. The deal is quite clear, isn't it?
SuSe hardfork will probably be only an stable version of CentOS Stream.
#offensive terms to the community :-), hide hat wrote it.
These terms are a shame for those who speak them out.
Simon